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Reader Comments (9)

Posted: Jan 7th 2009 1:00PM (Unverified) said

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It stands to reason that Linden Lab would simply turn off this report if it showed bad news. And it does. We know for a fact that you can only convert openspace sims to a full sim if you do it in clusters of four. We also know that a great many openspace sims were purchased after they dropped that four-at-a-time restriction. So I think we're seeing a combination of:

* Four-packs being converted to single full sims
* Four-packs being abandoned
* Singly purchases openspace sims being abandoned


Since Linden Lab is not releasing any information at all on what the ratios of these three types of loss are out of the total daily average loss of 55 sims per day, we can assume that if they did release the figures it wouldn't be a good thing for Linden Lab. Otherwise, they'd be forthcoming with the information and wouldn't have any problem with sharing it.

From this we can assume that a much smaller percentage of four-pack conversions are taking place than Linden Lab would prefer us to know about, and that the majority are simply being abandoned. However, we can also assume that because the conversions end up with Linden Lab receiving the same money within $5, that Linden Lab has probably not yet reached their threshold of pain with respect to the fiscal losses, and may not till the middle of spring.

The immediate fiscal impact is only one side of it, of course - whether they're actually losing money right now or not, the fact remains that SL is becoming a less fun place to be, simply because at this writing there are currently 16% fewer places to go than there were at the beginning of last November, with no end to the shrinkage in sight.

Kal

Posted: Jan 7th 2009 1:18PM (Unverified) said

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Looking at that hole in the reports, my concern isn't the numbers but the fact that either the systems that are supposed to generate the reports or the people responsible for generating and releasing the reports are incapable of generating the expected reports.

Neither of those situations leaves me with a warm fuzzy snuggly feeling.

So which is it? With the pseudoresponse on NWN, the answer appears to be... option number three: the people responsible for generating and releasing the reports are unwilling to release the reports.

If the numbers aren't adequately or truthfully explaining what is really going on, then there must be numbers that do, right?

Fine. Release those in addition to the existing numbers so that a better picture of what's going on is described. (THEN spin them.)

-ls/cm

Posted: Jan 7th 2009 4:03PM (Unverified) said

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*yawn*

Seriously, at this time, who cares? Let's see where we are a month or so after all the 4-to-1 conversions have taken place and people have had to deal with the new billing. Trying to make anything out of the information we get from them in the middle of this rollercoaster ride is pointless. Of course they will distort, hide and outright lie if necessary.

Posted: Jan 7th 2009 4:30PM (Unverified) said

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LL had said that the Open Spaces as they were before (being abused) were not supportable and a drain on resources and a money-loser. Shrinking back to a manageable land mass which no longer stresses the system and is once again supportable AND is a source of income is a good thing for LL; they ARE a business so the bottom line is the money. Keep in mind that there's a glut of land both mainland and estate, so a slightly shrinking landmass might bring some value back to the land you/I/we own.

Posted: Jan 8th 2009 2:54AM (Unverified) said

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They contradicted that position later on - which is one of the reasons we've been getting asked to chase it down.
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Posted: Jan 8th 2009 2:53AM (Unverified) said

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Very true Cincia...

but then what would all the bloggers have to complain about?

Posted: Jan 8th 2009 12:53PM (Unverified) said

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LL tries to play it both ways--claim growth when OpenSpace are selling like hotcakes in 2008 and then say it is a not really accurate when the sims all get dumped.

They should just report the total prim capacity on the grid which is at least somewhat indicative of content potential. Probably they could even show how much of that capacity is used? Oh, but I forget that LL only cares about hawking virtual land at higher prices.

Posted: Jan 8th 2009 6:44PM (Unverified) said

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I'm pretty sure that at tonight's office hour Jack said around 1,000 had been abandoned. That's probably a better figure than LL expected as I'm sure they said early on that abandonments were 1 in every 2.5.

Posted: Jan 8th 2009 6:55PM (Unverified) said

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That's interesting. A quick bit of back-of-the-envelope arithmetic with that number says the number of 4-sim conversions would be about the same figure: 1000.
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