These numbers sound about alright, didn't AoC ship a million as well? Not actual sales though, but assuming Mythic's retention will be a bit better they'll probably do nicely enough, if they can keep things moving content-wise (hard just after launch, but Arthas is coming).

Moria.. poor Moria. But LotRO has it's whole own loyal fanbase I guess, should be fine. Just wish the other two didn't have me booked for the next few months so I could try it out.